Terrorism and Game theory :: essays research papers fc

Terrorism is a rare, broad concept that affects individuals, schools, corporations, and governments alike. Generally terrorists end up wanting to make change with governments, and governments are unremarkably the only groups powerful enough to try to deal with governments. But what should be the best strategy to deal with terrorists? Since September 11, 2001 game theory has been used to try how governments and how terrorists should act to achieve their best outcome. This paper will analyze the games that these competing forces can use to determine the best course of action.The current war on act of terrorism is tending to have three different sides the United States, the European Union, and the terrorists. Before the September 11th attacks all policies towards terrorism were reactive rather than proactive. So in the beginning we get involved with terrorists at all, there is a game in which based on what policy the EU is going to enact, the how should the US act towards terrorism. A proactive policy means that the government is going to attack POSSIBLE terror threats, whereas a reactive policy would mean that there would be no strikes against terrorism unless the terrorists decide to strike first.Now lets take a look at a model. Lets say, for analysis sake, that a proactive strategy costs a government 6, entirely casts a pull ahead of 4 for both governments. For example, if only the US has a proactive strategy, then its net would be -2, but the EU would get all 4 of wellbeing. If both governments are proactive, then the cost is still 6 for each, but the benefit is doubled to 8 because they benefit from each others policies. Using this structure, we can construct this normal form of the gamefrom Acre & Sandler Vol. 34In this model it is clear that the Nash Equilibrium is where neither government has a proactive policy towards terrorists. Because neither government is willing to bear the entire cost, neither government will be proactive although the largest benefit can be derived from both being proactive. This is why this is a type of prisoners dilemma game.Real life is hardly ever as fair as this model would suggest. The United States is the target of 40% of all terrorism in the world. (Oster) The US is also more often successful in thwarting terrorism than Europe. Thus, a more realistic model might be one in which the United States gets a benefit of 8 for its proactive strategy.